Technical Analysis,Fundamental Analysis,MOM,momentum indicator,RSI Index,Upwards Trend,Correction,Downwards Trend,Dow Jones Industrial Average,Long-Term Investment,Investment Strategy,Pattern Recognition

US Dollar–Head And Shoulders Above the Crowd

Wednesday, July 7, 2010
posted by Eyal

The US Dollar Index Futures, a major tool used to estimate the US Dollar’s true worldwide value as it trades against the major currencies of the world, has been quietly making a technical pattern called a “head and shoulders” .  If you look at it  carefully you will see an image, more or less of a man’s head and shoulders, with the shoulders peaking slightly at their end.  This is the classical look of the pattern.  Once more, the Index has already broken out from the pattern, i.e. passed the neckline, and is on the way to fulfill its destiny and head to the target I listed on the Chart below, that is, 82.00 points.

Since this pattern is usually associated with major tops and we have no reason to believe that such is not the case here, I do believe we are at the start of a major downwards trend that could last a few months to a year and drag the Dollar down to places it has not seen in a long time.  More than 10 years of US Government spending on wars and bailing out financial criminals have flooded the world with its own currency of reference.  Now it is time for the Dollar to pay back for the devastation it has wreaked on many innocent people.  It will be only a symbolic gesture, and we may well forget it this time next year.  Because, you know, this is a world where lies thrive and the Mighty Dollar rules!

This is the way the Chart looks:

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